1994 season completion
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1994 Season review
How accurate is the APBA platform when compared to Historical MLB data?
When we completed this regular season playing out the remaining 669 (turned into 672 because of ties), I had some real doubt that the results would mirror what actually happened during the Historical 1994 MLB season. I assumed that our league would be comparatively heavy on offense and weaker comparatively in the pitching categories. Other assumptions I had were that the basic game platform did not allow for as many steal attempts (certainly not successful steals per game).
HITTING
The 1994 season is ranked in the top half offensively of all MLB seasons. Individually there were some all-time level statistical seasons put up. But, how would a collective season on APBA Go measure vs a historical season. I broke down the 1600 games played during the “real” strike shortened MLB season vs the 672 APBA GO played games (these included rainouts that were not rescheduled and 3 play in games that resulted to fix a three way tie). Each category is judged on a per game basis with the exception of Batting Avg, OBP, SLG, and OPS.
Historical 1994 BA: .270
APBA GO 1994 BA: .258
The batting avg comparison gave me pause, my first reaction was that this was a large differential between the two (4.5% difference)Historical OBP: .339
APBA GO OBP: .327
OBP shows a 3.5% difference. Or the equivalent of 150 OB for the 1600 game season. Less than 1 OB per 10 games difference.Historical SLG: .424
APBA GO SLG: .416
1.9% difference or 996 bases over the 1600 game season.Historically there were 38.90 plate appearance per game, APBA GOs replay resulted in 39.01 PA per game.
1994 runs per game were 9.845 and APBAGO = 10.087
1994 hits per game were 18.589 and APBAGO= 17.952
1994 Home Runs per game 2.0662 and APBAGO= 2.1190
1994 Stolen bases per game 1.4112 and APBAGO = 1.6324 (surprised me)
1994 Bases on Balls per game 6.9568 and APBAGO = 6.9077
1994 K per game 12.353 and APBAGO = 12.892Sample size in my opinion is the reason for these small discrepancies. The percentage difference between the numbers will be reduced in a larger sample size.
PITCHING
Similarly, there were some small differences in the pitching categories.ERA: 1994 – 4.50
APBAGO – 4.56
WHIP: 1994 – 1.43
APBAGO – 1.3779
K/9 : 1994 – 6.2
APBAGO – 6.49I am pleasantly surprised and impressed by these numbers. Though there are items I would personally change or enhance about APBA GO, I am glad to see that these numbers are close enough to reality that I can feel comfortable with the results of leagues in the long term
Andy
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WOWSERS! The Baltimore Orioles have continued their improbable run. From scrap heap to wild card, to ALCS and now to the World Series! They will face the Cincinnati Reds in a rematch of the 1970 World Series to see who will capture the 1994 championship. Well done GIl! And great season to Percy and his Cleveland Indians. Details to follow
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And then there was one! Congratulations to Gil and the 1994 Baltimore Orioles on winning our World Series. Would’ve been Baltimore’s first since 1983 and 4 th over all. And thank you to Gil, Andrew,Ed,Sheldon,Percy,Alex,Paul, Ted, JoeD and Joel. This project could not have been completed without you. Multi manager replays have their challenges and I learned a lot about how to handle issues in the future. You guys were patient and diligent at getting the games in and I personally could not have been more happy with the results. The league play was tedious at times but it produced a playoff run and playoffs that were action packed and unexpected. I am happy with both the team and the individual performances.
Great job and thank you!
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Great work on this reply. I’m looking at replaying the 1994 season soon.
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@anluc7 Started replaying the 1994 season, too. Enjoying it, but some of the offensive numbers are ridiculous.
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@Isotopecrunch not surprised. There are some monster cards in that season. Have fun. If ya need a partner to roll some of those tedious games gimme a shout I’d be willing
